Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.374086 0.443146 0.520174 0.612284 0.719251 0.839372 0.984296
2025-01-26 0.280905 0.372982 0.486618 0.636406 0.827798 1.063226 1.373720
2025-02-02 0.246856 0.355820 0.500361 0.704410 0.983021 1.347802 1.858788
2025-02-09 0.210818 0.325791 0.487864 0.730132 1.079544 1.560955 2.269067
2025-02-16 0.174893 0.287927 0.456257 0.721097 1.122075 1.699875 2.586792
2025-02-23 0.143540 0.250700 0.418631 0.695610 1.134006 1.791959 2.841492
2025-03-02 0.117549 0.217157 0.380953 0.663326 1.129107 1.854939 3.054351
2025-03-09 0.106621 0.206827 0.378618 0.686257 1.211940 2.057683 3.497546
2025-03-16 0.089908 0.183415 0.350729 0.662206 1.213830 2.130321 3.738009
2025-03-23 0.081634 0.174150 0.346065 0.677201 1.282239 2.315948 4.176756
2025-03-30 0.074124 0.165099 0.340407 0.689256 1.345865 2.497729 4.622373
2025-04-06 0.065511 0.152413 0.326094 0.683146 1.375330 2.621784 4.976807
2025-04-13 0.057983 0.141142 0.313735 0.680635 1.413722 2.769469 5.394176
2025-04-20 0.054075 0.137204 0.315784 0.707132 1.510703 3.032833 6.044714
2025-04-27 0.054687 0.143630 0.340239 0.782053 1.709821 3.502017 7.112044
2025-05-04 0.051286 0.140011 0.342493 0.810377 1.817581 3.805756 7.889763
2025-05-11 0.045467 0.129465 0.327895 0.800429 1.845112 3.955514 8.382054
2025-05-18 0.039232 0.116711 0.306407 0.772360 1.831019 4.020731 8.712209
2025-05-25 0.033417 0.103946 0.283003 0.736795 1.796487 4.040667 8.951663
2025-06-01 0.031599 0.101838 0.285356 0.762058 1.899464 4.353074 9.811659
2025-06-08 0.027409 0.092168 0.267256 0.735561 1.881712 4.408477 10.139717
2025-06-15 0.025660 0.089377 0.266582 0.752081 1.965299 4.687714 10.960720
2025-06-22 0.023924 0.086305 0.264735 0.765361 2.042321 4.958104 11.781209